There is a lot of money to be obtained this week on DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the main tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier contests on this week, where the final event will pay $50k into 1st for those who did qualify to play inside. I will be pursuing those as well because we have never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we have a fun card this Saturday and I am ready to enter this 3-week break using a winning night in UFC 227. Listed below are a few plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of this week.
Money Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the most powerful play in all DFS MMA and he has the maximum ceiling too. DJ is the P4P best fight on earth (not counting Jon Jones) and he has already beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I’m plugging in my money LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is practically guaranteed to score at 100-points at a triumph, and he has a -550 gambling line saying he must find the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in money. You can stack this battle as well, however I think DJ is a must.
GPP drama of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great struggle to goal this week because it probably will not visit a choice. Holland just fought the Contender Series that a couple weeks ago and didn’t get a contract. But now he’s on the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers in the division. The ITD lineup for Santos is currently -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. This tells me Vegas believes this battle ends early and Santos is the man that should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he readily pays that price tag off in a 1st round win and I presume he’s a good shot at doing exactly that. I really don’t care for him as much in cash game formats though because both men have quite lower floors, so this is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog play of this week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everyone is composing Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is why he’s so cheap on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he’s 100+ upside even in a decision triumph. Of course, we are worried about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid I think he could win this battle and 10x his wages with a triumph. I really don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so that I do believe he is going to be shooting takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or they could get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, that makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he is a good underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a end to cover that price label off with her style. She’s the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she gets a win here she could wind up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor will be the least owned fighter in GPPs this week, so if you want to invest your cash on a 115 pound lady using a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be very contrarian taking that route. However, I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I’d still full fade Taylor here.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and give my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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