This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Russia. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week considering it is a more compact card and starts at 10:15am ET. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that match. I will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a great quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I really don’t think there are any money locks nowadays, so I needed to bring up a cash plan I use a lot of the time, which is punting in money and accepting a reduction. I really don’t believe Roxy gets the win here, but she is only $6.9k and I think she receives 15-minutes of actions. I like the floor which accompanies this and punting with her cheap cost enables us to fit in more of the higher favorites with our other five spots. We don’t need 6 wins in money games, so I don’t think we will need to try for it. I like playing money games safer and if I can lock in 25-35 points in a loss from Roxy at her cheap price I’m totally okay with that. I look for 4 wins in money and above 350-400 DK points. That’s my goal weekly. Let everybody else make the mistakes and only shoot for a score that may beat 50 percent or more of this area.
GPP drama of this week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This really is an all-in struggle for GPPs in my opinion and I enjoy Overeem among my top plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so I would be shocked to see this go all 5 rounds. I also believe Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is levels before him at the game that is spectacular. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the toes would be by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing submission. Other than those two outcomes, Overeem will smoke on the feet. In addition, I think Overeem can work his way back into his toes if he is removed and the longer Oleinik shoots takedowns the quicker he will gas outside. I enjoy the -175 ITD lineup which is included with Overeem here and I believe he gets a complete in round 2 or 1. That should give us close to 100 DK points if not more, and I want that in lots of my GPP lineups.
Underdog drama of this week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the betting line (-120) however DraftKings salaries don’t change as soon as they are released. We receive Fiziev here for 800 cheaper than Mustafaev and he is favored to get the win. I was very impressed by what I saw out of this kid and I concur with the line movement. I really do think he has the win , but it is the DK worth that we would like to be sure to get exposure to the weekend. I think he is a great play in cash games with the current price and that I hope to be obese on him GPPs as well. We must roster underdogs in our lineups and when we can use a popular as among these”underdogs” I am usually on board for that.
Fade of the week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of this week for her $9.3k price label. I do think she gets the win here since I mentioned previously, I simply don’t see the way she’ll pay off that salary with no finish. I don’t see her shooting for any takedowns in this match, and I do not want to rely on her getting knockdown points . So, we’re only likely to be receiving 0.5 points per significant strike, and the 30-point win bonus when she wins a decision. If this is the case, we’d need her to property over 126 sig strikes simply to secure more than 10x value. I don’t see that being true and that I believe she more likely scores 80-85 DK points at a decision triumph. At her wages, that will not win anyone the big $25k. That’s the prize I am shooting so that is why she is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I am 69-41 to get +237.39u (+$23,739) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
Read more: nujuniorminers.org